One of the first things you probably do every morning is look out the window to see what the weather is like. Looking outside and listening to the day’s forecast helps you decide what clothes you will wear and maybe even what you will do throughout the day. If you don’t have school and the
weather
looks sunny, you might visit the zoo or go on a picnic. A rainy day might make you think about visiting a museum or staying home to read.
The
weather
affects us in many ways. Day-to-day changes in
weather
can influence how we feel and the way we look at the world. Severe
weather
, such as tornadoes, hurricanes, and blizzards, can disrupt many people’s lives because of the destruction they cause.
The term “
weather
” refers to the temporary conditions of the atmosphere, the layer of air that surrounds the Earth. We usually think of
weather
in terms of the state of the
atmosphere
in our own part of the world. But
weather
works like dropping a pebble in water—the ripples eventually affect water far away from where the pebble was dropped. The same happens with
weather
around the globe.
Weather
in your region will eventually affect the
weather
hundreds or thousands of kilometers away. For example, a snowstorm around Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, might eventually reach Chicago, Illinois, as it moves southeast through the U.S.
Weather
doesn’t just stay in one place. It moves, and changes from hour to hour or day to day. Over many years, certain conditions become familiar
weather
in an area. The average
weather
in a specific region, as well as its variations and extremes over many years, is called climate. For example, the city of Las Vegas in the U.S. state of Nevada is gen
erally
dry and hot. Honolulu, the capital of the U.S. state of Hawaii, is also hot, but much more humid and rainy.
Climate
changes, just like
weather
. However,
climate
change can take hundreds or even thousands of years. Today, the Sahara Desert in northern Africa is the largest
desert
in the world. However, sev
eral
thousand years ago, the
climate
in the Sahara was quite different. This “Green Sahara” experienced frequent rainy
weather
.
What Makes Weather
There are six main components, or parts, of
weather
. They are temperature, atmospheric pressure,
wind
, humidity, precipitation, and cloudiness. Together, these
components
describe the
weather
at any given time. These changing
components
, along with the knowledge of atmospheric processes, help meteorologists—scientists who study
weather
—
forecast
what the
weather
will be in the near future.
Temp
erature
is measured with a thermometer and refers to how hot or cold the
atmosphere
is.
Meteorologists
report
temp
erature
two ways: in Celsius (C) and Fahrenheit (F). The United States uses the Fahrenheit system; in other parts of the world, Celsius is used. Almost all scientists measure
temp
erature
using the Celsius scale.
Temp
erature
is a relative measurement. An afternoon at 70 degrees Fahrenheit, for example, would seem cool after sev
eral
days of 95 degrees Fahrenheit, but it would seem warm after
temp
eratures
around 32 degrees Fahrenheit. The coldest
weather
usually happens near the poles, while the warmest
weather
usually happens near the Equator.
Atmospheric pressure
is the weight of the
atmosphere
overhead. Changes in
atmospheric pressure
signal shifts in the
weather
. A high-pressure system usually brings cool
temp
eratures
and clear skies. A low-pressure system can bring warmer
weather
, storms, and rain.
Meteorologists
express
atmospheric pressure
in a unit of measurement called an
atmosphere
.
Atmospheres
are measured in millibars or inches of mercury. Av
erage
atmospheric pressure
at sea level is about one
atmosphere
(about 1,013
millibars
, or 29.9 inches). An av
erage
low-pressure system
, or cyclone, measures about 995
millibars
(29.4 inches). A typical
high-pressure system
, or anticyclone, usually reaches 1,030
millibars
(30.4 inches). The word “
cyclone
” refers to air that rotates in a circle, like a wheel.
Atmospheric pressure
changes with <altitude. The
atmospheric pressure
is much lower at high
altitudes
. The air pressure on top of Mount Kilimanjaro, Tanzania—which is 5,895 meters (19,344 feet) tall—is 40 percent of the air pressure at
sea level
. The
weather
is much colder. The
weather
at the base of Mount Kilimanjaro is tropical, but the top of the mountain has ice and snow.
Wind
is the movement of air.
Wind
forms because of differences in
temp
erature
and
atmospheric pressure
between nearby regions.
Winds
tend to blow from areas of high pressure, where it’s colder, to areas of low pressure, where it’s warmer.
In the upper
atmosphere
, strong, fast
winds
called jet streams occur at
altitudes
of 8 to 15 kilometers (5 to 9 miles) above the Earth. They usually blow from about 129 to 225 kilometers per hour (80 to 140 miles per hour), but they can reach more than 443 kilometers per hour (275 miles per hour). These upper-
atmosphere
winds
help push weather systems around the globe.
Wind
can be influenced by human activity. Chicago, Illinois, is nicknamed the “Windy City.” After the Great Chicago Fire of 1871 destroyed the city, city planners rebuilt it using a grid system. This created wind tunnels.
Winds
are forced into narrow channels, picking up speed and strength. The
Windy
City
is a result of natural and manmade
winds
.
Humidity
refers to the amount of water vapor in the air. Water
vapor
is a gas in the
atmosphere
that helps make
clouds
, rain, or snow.
Humidity
is usually expressed as relative humidity, or the percentage of the maximum amount of water air can hold at a given
temp
erature
. Cool air holds less water than warm air. At a
relative
humidity
of 100 percent, air is said to be saturated, meaning the air cannot hold any more water
vapor
. Excess water
vapor
will fall as
precipitation
.
Clouds
and
precipitation
occur when air cools below its saturation point. This usually happens when warm, humid air cools as it rises.
The most humid places on Earth are islands near the
Equator
. Singapore, for instance, is humid year-round. The warm air is continually
saturated
with water from the Indian Ocean.
Clouds
come in a variety of forms. Not all of them produce
precipitation
. Wispy cirrus
clouds
, for example, usually signal mild
weather
. Other kinds of
clouds
can bring rain or snow. A blanketlike cover of nimbostratus
clouds
produces steady, extended
precipitation
. Enormous cumulonimbus
clouds
, or thunderheads, release heavy downpours.
Cumulonimbus
clouds
can produce thunderstorms and
tornadoes
as well.
Clouds
can affect the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth’s surface.
Cloudy
days are cooler than clear ones because
clouds
prevent more of the sun’s radiation from reaching the Earth’s surface. The opposite is true at night—then,
clouds
act as a blanket, keeping the Earth warm.
Weather Systems
Cloud
patterns indicate the presence of
weather
systems
, which produce most of the
weather
we are familiar with: rain, heat waves, cold snaps,
humidity
, and
cloudiness
.
Weather
systems
are simply the movement of warm and cold air across the globe. These movements are known as
low-pressure systems
and
high-pressure systems
.
High-pressure systems
are rotating masses of cool, dry air.
High-pressure systems
keep moisture from rising into the
atmosphere
and forming
clouds
. Therefore, they are usually associated with clear skies. On the other hand,
low-pressure systems
are rotating masses of warm, moist air. They usually bring storms and high
winds
.
High-pressure and
low-pressure systems
continually pass through the mid-latitudes, or areas of the Earth about halfway between the
Equator
and the
poles
, so
weather
there is constantly changing.
A weather map is filled with symbols indicating different types of
weather
systems
. Spirals, for instance, are
cyclones
or
hurricanes
, and thick lines are fronts.
Cyclones
have a spiral shape because they are composed of air that swirls in a circular pattern.
A
front
is a narrow zone across which
temp
erature
,
humidity
, and
wind
change abruptly. A
front
exists at the boundary between two air masses. An
air mass
is a large volume of air that is mostly the same
temp
erature
and has mostly the same
humidity
.
When a warm
air mass
moves into the place of a cold
air mass
, the
boundary
between them is called a warm front. On a
weather
map
, a
warm
front
is shown as a red band with half-circles pointing in the direction the air is moving.
When a cold
air mass
takes the place of a warm
air mass
, the
boundary
between them is called a cold
front
. On a
weather
map
, a cold
front
is shown as a blue band with triangles pointing in the direction the air is moving.
A stationary front develops when warm air and cold air meet and the
boundary
between the two does not move. On a
weather
map
, a
stationary
front
is shown as alternating red half-circles and blue triangles, pointing in opposite directions.
When a cold
front
overtakes a
warm
front
, the new
front
is called an occluded front. On a
weather
map
, an
occluded
front
is shown as a purple band with half-circles and triangles pointing in the direction the air is moving. Cold
fronts
are able to overtake
warm
fronts
because they move faster.
History of Weather Forecasting
Meteorology is the science of
forecasting
weather
.
Weather
forecasting
has been important to civilizations for thousands of years. Agriculture relies on accurate
weather
forecasting
: when to plant, when to irrigate, when to harvest. Ancient cultures—from the Aztecs of Mesoamerica to the Egyptians in Africa and Indians in Asia—became expert astronomers and predictors of seasonal
weather
patterns.
In all of these cultures,
weather
forecasting
became associated with religion and spirituality.
Weather
such as rain, drought,
wind
, and
cloudiness
were associated with a deity, or god. These deities were worshipped in order to ensure good
weather
. Rain gods and goddesses were particularly important, because rain influenced
agriculture
and construction projects. Tlaloc (Aztec), Set (Egyptian), and Indra (India), as well as Thor (Norse), Zeus (Greek), and Shango (Yoruba), are only some gods associated with rain,
thunder
, and lightning.
Developments in the 17th and 18th centuries made
weather
forecasting
more
accurate
. The 17th century saw the invention of the
thermometer
, which measures
temp
erature
, and the barometer, which measures air pressure. In the 18th century, Sir Isaac Newton was able to explain the complex physics of gravity, motion, and thermodynamics. These principles guided the science of
meteorology
into the modern age. Scientists were able to predict the impact of
high-pressure systems
and
low-pressure systems
, as well as such
weather
events as storm surges, floods, and
tornadoes
.
Since the late 1930s, one of the main tools for observing gen
eral
conditions of the
atmosphere
has been the radiosonde balloon, which sends information needed for
forecasting
back to Earth. Twice each day,
radiosondes
are released into the
atmosphere
from about a thousand locations around the world. The U.S. National Weather Service sends up
radiosondes
from more than 90 weather stations across the country.
A
weather
station
is simply a facility with tools and technology used to
forecast
the
weather
. Different types of
thermometers
,
barometers
, and anemometers, which measure
wind
speed, are found at
weather
stations
.
Weather
stations
may also have computer equipment that allows
meteorologists
to create detailed maps of
weather
patterns, and
technology
that allows them to launch weather balloons.
Many
weather
stations
are part of networks. These networks allow
meteorologists
from different regions and countries to share information on
weather
patterns and predictions. In the United States, the Citizen Weather Observer Program depends on amateur
meteorologists
with homemade
weather
stations
and internet connections to provide
forecasts
across the United States.
The Aircraft Meteorological Data Relay (AMDAR) also assists in gathering
weather
data directly from the
atmosphere
. AMDAR uses commercial aircraft to transmit information about the
atmosphere
as the planes fly through it.
Weather
balloons
and AMDAR instruments gather information about
temp
erature
, pressure,
humidity
, and
wind
from very high levels in the
atmosphere
.
Meteorologists
input the
data
to computers and use it to map atmospheric
winds
and
jet streams
. They often combine this with
data
about
temp
erature
,
humidity
, and
wind
recorded at ground level. These complex
weather
maps
using geographic information system (GIS)
technology
can calculate how
weather
systems
are moving and predict how they might change.
This type of
forecasting
is called synoptic forecasting.
Synoptic
forecasting
is getting a gen
eral
idea of the
weather
over a large area. It relies on the fact that in certain atmospheric conditions, particular
weather
conditions are usually produced. For example,
meteorologists
know that a
low-pressure system
over the U.S. state of Arizona in winter will bring warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico toward Colorado. The high-pressure
weather
system
of the Rocky Mountains drains the water
vapor
out of the air, resulting in rain.
Meteorologists
know that heavy snow may result when that warm
air mass
heads toward Colorado. Businesses, such as ski resorts, rely on such information. Transportation networks also rely on
synoptic
forecasting
.
If
meteorologists
knew more about how the
atmosphere
functions, they would be able to make more
accurate
forecasts
from day to day or even from week to week. Making such
forecasts
, however, would require knowing the
temp
erature
,
atmospheric pressure
,
wind
speed and direction,
humidity
,
precipitation
, and
cloudiness
at every point on the Earth.
It is impossible for
meteorologists
to know all this, but they do have some tools that help them
accurately
forecast
weather
for a day or two in advance. But because the
atmosphere
is constantly changing, detailed
forecasts
for more than a week or two will never be possible.
Weather
is just too unpredictable.
Weather Satellites
A new
era
in
weather
forecasting
began on April 1, 1960, when the first
weather
satellite
, TIROS-1, went into orbit.
TIROS-1
, which stands for Television Infrared Observation Satellite, was launched by NASA from Cape Canav
eral
, Florida.
TIROS-1
was mostly an
orbiting
television cam
era
, recording and sending back images. It gave
meteorologists
their first detailed look at
clouds
from above. With images from
TIROS-1
, they could track
hurricanes
and other
cyclones
moving across the globe.
Since then,
meteorologists
have depended on
weather
satellites
for the most up-to-date and reliable information on
weather
patterns. Some satellites have geostationary orbits, meaning they stay in the same spot and move at the speed the Earth rotates. Geostationary satellites track the
weather
over one region. Other satellites
orbit
the Earth every 12 hours. These satellites can trace
weather
patterns, such as
hurricanes
, over the entire part of the globe they
orbit
.
Weather
satellites
can give more than just information about
clouds
and
wind
speeds. Satellites can see fires, volcanoes, city lights, dust storms, the effects of pollution, boundaries of ocean currents, and other environmental information.
In 2010, the
volcano
Eyjafjallajokull, in Iceland, erupted. It sent millions of tons of gases and ash into the
atmosphere
.
Weather
satellites
in
orbit
above Iceland tracked the ash
cloud
as it moved across western Europe.
Meteorologists
were able to warn airlines about the toxic
cloud
, which darkened the sky and would have made flying dangerous. Hundreds of flights were canceled.
Radiosonde
instruments are still more
accurate
than
weather
satellites
. Satellites, however, can cover a larger area of the Earth. They also cover areas where there are no
weather
stations
, like over the ocean. Satellite
data
have helped
weather
forecasts
become more
accurate
, especially in the remote areas of the world that don’t have other ways to get information about the
weather
.
Radar
Radar
is another major tool of
weather
observation and
forecasting
. It is used primarily to observe
clouds
and rain locally. One type of
radar
, called Doppler radar, is used at
weather
stations
throughout the world.
Doppler
radar
measures changes in
wind
speed and direction. It provides information within a radius of about 230 kilometers (143 miles). Conventional
radar
can only show existing
clouds
and
precipitation
. With
Doppler
radar
,
meteorologists
are able to
forecast
when and where
severe
thunderstorms
and
tornadoes
are developing.
Doppler
radar
has made air travel safer. It lets air traffic controllers detect
severe
local conditions, such as microbursts.
Microbursts
are powerful
winds
that originate in
thunderstorms
. They are among the most dangerous
weather
phenomena a pilot can encounter. If an
aircraft
attempts to land or take off through a
microburst
, the suddenly changing
wind
conditions can cause the craft to lose lift and crash. In the United States alone,
airline
crashes because of
microbursts
have caused more than 600 deaths since 1964.
Radar
allowed
meteorologists
in the U.S. to track Hurricane Katrina in 2005, and predict the power of the storm with great accuracy. The
National
Weather
Service
and the National Hurricane Center created sophisticated GIS maps using
radar
, satellite, and balloon
data
. They were able to predict the site of the storm’s landing, and the strength of the storm over a period of days. A full day before the storm made landfall near Buras, Louisiana, the
National
Hurricane
Center
released a public warning: “Some levees in greater New Orleans area could be overtopped.” The
National
Weather
Service
warned that the area around New Orleans, Louisiana, “would be uninhabitable for weeks, if not longer. Human suffering incredible by modern standards.”
In fact, both of those
forecasts
were true.
Levees
in New Orleans were overtopped by the Mississippi River. Hundreds of homes, schools, hospitals, and businesses were destroyed. Many areas between New Orleans and Biloxi, Mississippi, were uninhabitable for weeks or months, and rebuilding efforts took years. More than a thousand people died.
Making a Weather Forecast
To produce a
weather
forecast
for a particular area,
meteorologists
use a computer-gen
erated
forecast
as a guide. They combine it with additional
data
from
current
satellite and
radar
images. They also rely on their own knowledge of
weather
processes.
If you follow the
weather
closely, you, too, can make a reasonable
forecast
.
Radar
and satellite images showing
precipitation
and
cloud
cover are now common on television, online, and in the daily newspaper.
In addition, you will probably see
weather
maps
showing high- and
low-pressure systems
and
fronts
. In addition to bars representing different
fronts
,
weather
maps
usually show isotherms and isobars.
Isotherms
are lines connecting areas of the same
temp
erature
, and
isobars
connect regions of the same
atmospheric pressure
.
Weather
maps
also include information about
cloudiness
,
precipitation
, and
wind
speed and direction.
More Accurate Forecasts
Although
weather
forecasts
have become more reliable, there is still a need for greater accuracy. Better
forecasts
could save industries across the world many billions of dollars each year. Farmers and engineers, in particular, would benefit.
Better frost predictions, for example, could save U.S. citrus growers millions of dollars each year.
Citrus
fruits such as oranges are very vuln
erable
to
frost
—they die in cold, wet
weather
. With more
accurate
frost
forecasts
,
citrus
farmers
could
plant
when they know the new, tender seedlings wouldn’t be killed by
frost
. More
accurate
rain
forecasts
would enable
farmers
to plan timely irrigation schedules and avoid
floods
.
Imperfect
weather
forecasts
cause
construction
companies to lose both time and money. A
construction
foreman might call his crew in to work only to have it rain, when the crew can’t work. An unexpected cold spell could ruin a freshly poured concrete foundation.
Outdoor activities, such as concerts or sporting events, could be planned with greater accuracy. Sports teams and musicians would not have to reschedule, and fans would not be inconvenienced.
Power companies would also benefit from
accurate
forecasts
. They adjust their systems when they expect extreme
temp
eratures
, because people will use their furnaces and air conditioning more on these days. If the
forecast
predicts a hot, humid day and it turns out to be mild, the power company loses money. The extra electricity or gas it bought doesn’t get used.
Small businesses, too, would benefit from a better
forecast
. An ice cream store owner, for example, could save her advertising funds for some time in the future if she knew the coming weekend was going to be cool and rainy.
Responding to such needs,
meteorologists
are working to develop new tools and new methods that will improve their ability to
forecast
the
weather
.
Fast Fact
Make Some Noise—Thunder
Do you know what makes the noise you hear with thunder? Lightning. Lightning is very, very hot because it has so much energy. When lightning strikes, the molecules in the air expand very rapidly. The heated air creates a huge sound wave, which is thunder.
To make your own thunder, you will need a paper lunch bag. Blow into the bag until it's filled with air. Quickly twist the top closed with one hand, and with the other hand, hit the bag. When you hit the bag, the air pressure increases very quickly. In fact, the air pressure breaks the bag. The air rushes outside the bag, creating a sound wave. When it reaches your ear, you hear a loud boom.
Fast Fact
Red Sky in Morning . . .
Before meteorologists were able to accurately predict weather, people noticed different characteristics associated with different weather patterns. They used these characteristics to predict the weather.
Red sky in morning, sailors take warning/Red sky at night, sailors delight is a popular rhyme that attempts to predict the weather. In fact, its pretty accurate. Weather patterns usually move from west to east. Red sky in the morning (in the east, where the sun rises) indicates that the sun is reflecting off rainclouds, meaning the day will likely have rain (difficult weather for sailing.) Red sky at night (in the west, where the sun sets) indicates clear, calm weather (perfect weather for sailing).
When windows won't open and salt clogs the shaker/Weather will favor the umbrella maker is another weather-predicting rhyme. When the air is humid, or full of water vapor, wood swells. It absorbs the water in the air. Salt also absorbs water in the surrounding air, forming large lumps. Wood-framed windows and salt in shakers become difficult to use. As the humid air reaches its saturation point, rain (and umbrellas) are likely to be seen.
Audio & Video
Website
Citizen Weather Observer ProgramThe Weather Channel: When Weather Changed HistoryWorld Meteorological Organization: World Weather Information ServiceNOAA: Education—Weather Coloring BooksArizona State University and the World Meteorological Organization: Climate Extremes ArchiveNOAA: National Weather Service—U.S. Daily Weather Forecast Map